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Live Signal Feed — AU/NZ Racing

Follow the Smart Money

Real-time Telegram alerts powered by institutional order flow detection. Two independent systems. Audited results. No tipster guesswork.

+227u
Pro Channel P&L
64 days · 3,178 bets
+168u
Tape Alerts P&L
61 days · 505 bets
56.0%
Tape Strike Rate
9 of 11 weeks ✓
2.37
Sharpe Ratio
Pro Channel

Performance shown Jan 25, 2026 – Apr 3, 2026. Flat 1u win-only staking. Past performance does not guarantee future results. All figures auditable from timestamped Telegram messages.

The System
How Tramina Pro Works
SDM (Smart Data Monitor) analyses every runner in every Australian and New Zealand thoroughbred race through real-time market microstructure. When institutional-grade activity is detected, you get an alert.
01

Market Surveillance

Our system continuously monitors order flow, depth imbalance, price momentum, volume surges, and spread dynamics across all live Betfair markets — processing thousands of data points every second.

02

Smart Money Detection

Proprietary algorithms classify each runner's activity into institutional patterns: sustained accumulation campaigns, controlled price compression, and order book signatures that retail flow cannot replicate.

03

Telegram Alerts

When a signal passes our 13-gate qualification pipeline — including campaign maturity, conviction scoring, and price zone validation — you receive a Telegram alert with full signal context and suggested staking.

The Experience
What Subscribers See
Alert arrives on Telegram. You place the bet. Result settles automatically. The entire cycle happens in under 3 minutes.
Telegram Alert
🚨 TRAMINA PRO — STRONG
💎 ELITE CONVICTION — Maximum Stake

🏇 Flemington R4
📌 Paradise Storm

💰 Price: $5.80
⭐ Grade: B
🔥 Streak: 9

💰 Suggested Staking: 2.0u WIN @ $5.80
   📈 2.0x multiplier (streak 9)

TraminaPro v8.5.0 2:47 PM
1. Alert fires 1-3 min before race
Place Your Bet
Paradise Storm
Back$5.80
Stake$40.00
Returns$232.00
2. Act within 60-90 seconds
Result Settles
🏆
Paradise Storm — 1st
+$192.00
+4.8u at $5.80 · ELITE conviction
3. Result logged and verified

Illustrative example only. Individual bets can win or lose. 30.4% of Pro Channel signals win at flat staking.

Track Record
Audited Performance
Every alert is timestamped in Telegram. Every result is verifiable against public Betfair settlement prices. No cherry-picking, no hypothetical backtests — real signals, real outcomes.
Pro Channel
Live
+227.2u
Total P&L
+7.1%
POT
30.6%
Strike Rate
64 trading days (Jan 25 – Apr 3, 2026). 3,178 resolved alerts. Flat 1u win-only. STRONG tier delivers +11.6% POT. ELITE conviction (streak 7+): +37.9% POT — the system's engine. Sharpe Ratio: 2.37 (annualised). 7 of 11 weeks profitable.
Tape Alerts
Live
+167.8u
Total P&L
+33.2%
POT
56.0%
Strike Rate
61 trading days (Jan 23 – Apr 2, 2026). 505 resolved bets at avg $3.98. A+ microstructure grade only — the highest conviction tape read. Sharpe Ratio: ~8.3 (exceptional). 9 of 11 weeks profitable. Max drawdown just 18.2u. H2 outperforming H1: +43.9% vs +22.5% POT.

Pro Channel — Weekly P&L

Flat 1u win-only. 11 weeks. Jan 25 – Apr 3, 2026. Green = profit, red = loss.

-12
+86
+17
+55
+51
-29
+91
-9
-113
+84
+7
W04
W05
W06
W07
W08
W09
W10
W11
W12
W13
W14

7 of 11 weeks profitable. Worst: -113.3u (W12). Best: +91.0u (W10). Peak equity: +258.0u. Current: +227.2u.

Tape Alerts — Weekly P&L

Flat 1u win-only. 11 weeks. Jan 23 – Apr 2, 2026. 9 of 11 weeks profitable.

-4
+23
+5
+20
+15
+28
+23
+40
+13
+6
-2
W03
W04
W05
W06
W07
W08
W09
W10
W11
W12
W13

All 8 complete weeks profitable. Best: +40.0u (W10, +72.6% POT). Only partial weeks (W03, W13) are negative. Sharpe ~8.3.

Combined Cumulative P&L

Pro Channel (green) + Tape Alerts (gold) = Combined (white). Both channels stacked.

Pro: +227.2u    Tape: +167.8u    Combined: +395.0u

+7
+99
+136
+206
+284
+278
+409★
+413
+306
+388
+395
W04
W05
W06
W07
W08
W09
W10
W11
W12
W13
W14

Peak combined equity: +413u (W11). Notice W12: Pro dropped -113u but Tape added +6u — genuine diversification buffering the worst drawdown. The gold (Tape) component grows steadily regardless of Pro's volatility.

Transparency
Verify Every Claim
Unlike tipsters who publish curated highlight reels, every Tramina Pro alert is permanently timestamped in Telegram. Scroll back to any date and audit for yourself.

No hidden results. No selective reporting.

Every alert is a Telegram message with a timestamp. Every race result is public record. Match the two and you have our complete P&L — verified by you, not us.

  • 1
    Open the Telegram channel and scroll to any date
  • 2
    Check the alert: runner, venue, race, price, and timestamp
  • 3
    Cross-reference against the official race result on any racing site
  • 4
    Verify the Betfair settlement price — it's public data

If a service won't show you their losses, they're hiding something. We publish every result — wins, losses, and drawdowns.

Tramina Pro Channel 3,178 alerts · 64 days
🚨 TRAMINA PRO — STRONG
💎 ELITE CONVICTION — Maximum Stake

🏇 Rosehill R6
📌 Cosmic Reign

💰 Price: $4.20
⭐ Grade: B   🔥 Streak: 8
💰 Staking: 2.0u WIN

✅ WON — +6.4u Sat 15 Mar · 3:22 PM
🔥 TRAMINA PRO — CONFIDENT

🏇 Flemington R3
📌 Night Patrol

💰 Price: $6.50
⭐ Grade: C   🔥 Streak: 4
💰 Staking: 1.0u WIN

❌ LOST — -1.0u Sat 15 Mar · 2:48 PM
📼 TRAMINA TAPE SELECTION

🏇 Caulfield R5
📌 Storm Legacy

💰 Price: $3.40
⭐ Grade: A+ (Tape Verified)
💰 Staking: 1u WIN

✅ WON — +2.4u Sat 15 Mar · 2:15 PM
Data Transparency
Where the Edge Lives
We don't hide behind aggregate numbers. Here's exactly how each dimension of the system performs.

Pro — By Conviction

STRONG tier+11.6% POT
CONFIDENT tier+4.7% POT
ELITE (streak 7+)+37.9% POT
STANDARD (streak <7)-0.8% POT

📊 Pro — By Price Band

$3–4+11.1% POT
$5–6+16.6% POT
$6–8+17.7% POT
$10–12+49.6% POT

🎯 Tape — By Price Band

$2–3+42.0% POT
$3–5+30.0% POT
$5–8+41.1% POT
IMB 60-80+50.2% POT

POT = Profit on Turnover. All figures from live, timestamped Telegram alerts. 25 Jan – 3 Apr 2026. View full performance dashboard →

For the Data-Minded
Under the Hood
If you want to see the engineering behind the edge — the pipeline statistics, filter analysis, confidence intervals, and microstructure metrics — this section is for you.

The 13-Gate Qualification Pipeline

Every signal must pass 13 sequential gates before it reaches subscribers. Each gate exists because data showed a specific pattern of loss without it. From 69,746 raw market signals, only 3,178 (4.6%) survive to become subscriber alerts.

69,746
Raw Signals
3,178
Pass All Gates
4.6%
Pass Rate
13
Sequential Gates

ELITE Conviction — Statistical Proof

652 signals with accumulation streak ≥7. The 95% bootstrap confidence interval for POT is entirely above zero.

Strike Rate 40.9%
POT +37.9%
P&L +246.9u
95% CI (POT) [+19.1%, +57.0%]
Without ELITE -0.8% POT

ELITE is the system. The remaining 2,526 non-ELITE signals are flat. The 2x stake multiplier is backed by a CI entirely above zero.

Tape Alerts — Wilson CI

505 selections with A+ microstructure grade. Strike rate holds at 56.0% against a 25.2% breakeven rate.

Strike Rate 56.0%
Wilson CI (SR) [50.7%, 61.1%]
Breakeven SR 25.2%
Edge Above BE +25.5pp
H2 vs H1 POT +43.9% vs +22.5%
Sharpe Ratio ~8.3

Wilson CI lower bound (50.7%) clears breakeven by +25.5 percentage points. The widest measured edge in the SDM system. Edge is strengthening in H2.

Pro Channel — Grade × Price Crosstab (POT%)

Where the edge concentrates. Green = profitable, red = value destroyer. This analysis drives our gate decisions.

GRADE $3-4 $4-5 $5-6 $6-8 $8-10 $10-12
Grade A +18% +12% +65% +19% -61%
Grade B +17% +15% +40% +19% -17% +46%
Grade C +6% -5% +1% +16% -40% +52%

The $8-10 column is red across all grades — this is the system's primary value destroyer (-120.8u total). CONFIDENT $8-10 alone leaked -129.6u at -65.5% POT. Our gates now block this zone for non-STRONG signals. The $5-8 range is the sweet spot: consistently positive across all grades.

Tape Microstructure — What A+ Means

A+ grade requires ALL five microstructure conditions to be true simultaneously. This is the most selective tape read in the system.

SHORT
Price shortening
ret < -2%
TIGHT
Professional spread
spread < 1%
STEADY
Sufficient depth
depth ≥ 400
VOL UP
Volume surge
d_traded > 300
IMB BUILD
Back-side pressure
imb >10%, rising

The IMB 60-80 band (strong back-side imbalance) delivers +50.2% POT with 66.7% SR — the system's highest-efficiency segment. All IMB bands are profitable. d_imb ≥ 5 is used as a subscriber quality filter, removing noise-zone signals (-16.1% POT) while preserving 96% of P&L.

System Architecture

21,000+ lines of Python running on FastAPI + WebSocket. Processes every runner in every AU/NZ thoroughbred race in real time.

Codebase 21,185 lines
ML Models 5-model ensemble
Features 22 microstructure
Smart States 5 classifications
Tape Grades A+ through F
Betting Systems 5 independent
Pipeline Gates 13 sequential
Bootstrap CIs 10,000 resamples
Signal Strength 0-100 composite

Full methodology at /methodology. Performance data at /performance. The system does not use form data, trainer/jockey stats, or model-implied probability as decision criteria.

Subscribers
What Subscribers Say
Quantitative bettors who verify our claims before subscribing — and stay because the numbers hold up.
"
First service I've used where I can actually audit every single alert against public race results. The transparency alone sets it apart from every tipster I've tried.
MK
Melbourne, VIC Pro subscriber · 6 weeks
"
The Tape Alerts channel is remarkable — 55% strike rate with minimal drawdowns. It's the steady engine of my betting portfolio now.
JT
Sydney, NSW Elite subscriber · 8 weeks
"
Had a -113u week and almost quit. Stayed the course and made +91u the next week. The onboarding guide prepared me for the variance.
DP
Brisbane, QLD Pro subscriber · 10 weeks

Placeholder testimonials — to be replaced with verified subscriber reviews

Pricing
Choose Your Plan

⚠️ Limited Subscriptions Available

We deliberately cap the number of active subscribers to protect signal edge and execution quality for existing members. When the market knows what we know, the edge disappears. Subscriptions may close without notice once the cap is reached.

All plans include a 7-day free trial. Cancel anytime. Prices exclude GST.

Starter
$49/wk
Pro Channel alerts only. Perfect for getting started.
  • Pro Channel Telegram alerts
  • CONFIDENT + STRONG tier signals
  • Real-time entry notifications
  • ~50 alerts per day
Elite
$199/wk
Everything, plus ML predictions channel.
  • All Pro plan features
  • ML Predictions channel*
  • 5-model ensemble scoring
  • Weekly performance reports

*ML Predictions channel currently in shadow mode. Elite subscribers receive access upon launch (expected April/May 2026). All prices exclude GST. Pricing subject to change.

Get Started
Start Your 7-Day Free Trial
Join the waitlist and we'll send you everything you need to get started — including access to the onboarding guide and your Telegram channel invites.

No spam. No sharing. You'll receive setup instructions only.

You're on the list

We'll email you with access details and your onboarding guide shortly.

FAQ
Common Questions
What exactly do I receive?
You receive real-time Telegram alerts when our system detects institutional-grade activity on a runner. Each alert includes the runner, venue, race number, current price, signal strength, conviction tier, and suggested staking. Alerts typically arrive 1–3 minutes before the race starts.
How is this different from a tipster?
Tipsters give you opinions. We give you data. Our signals are generated by a quantitative system that analyses real-time Betfair exchange order flow — not form guides, not gut feel, not insider connections. Every alert passes through a 13-gate pipeline with objective criteria. Every result is timestamped and verifiable. We publish our losses alongside our wins. And the two channels are structurally independent, providing genuine diversification rather than the same opinion expressed twice.
How do I verify the results?
Every alert is timestamped in Telegram — you can scroll back to any date and verify the signal against the official race result and Betfair settlement price. We don't publish hypothetical backtests as live results. What you see on the performance page is what was actually sent.
What is "smart money" detection?
Professional and institutional bettors leave distinctive patterns in the Betfair order book — sustained back-side accumulation, controlled depth management, imbalance building, and price compression sequences that differ fundamentally from retail betting activity. Our system classifies these patterns in real time.
What happens during losing streaks?
Losing weeks are a normal part of any quantitative strategy. In our 59-day track record, the worst single week was -113.3u. The system recovered +90.6u the following week. Maximum drawdown reached -141.1u (53.4% of peak equity). This is why we recommend a bankroll of 150+ units and strict flat staking. Our onboarding guide prepares you for exactly this — the variance is real, and the system is designed to compound through it over time.
What markets are covered?
Australian and New Zealand thoroughbred racing. We focus exclusively on markets with sufficient Betfair liquidity to produce reliable microstructure signals — typically metro and provincial meetings.
What staking do you recommend?
Published results use flat 1-unit win-only staking. Each alert includes a conviction tier (STANDARD, HIGH, or ELITE) and suggested stake adjustment. We recommend bankroll management of 150+ units regardless of unit size. Never increase your unit size to chase losses.
Can I cancel anytime?
Yes. All subscriptions are week-to-week by default. You can cancel at any time through your account settings. Quarterly and annual plans are billed upfront but can be cancelled with the remaining period honoured. The 7-day trial is completely free — no credit card required to start.
Is there a free trial?
Yes — we offer a 7-day trial of the Pro plan. You'll receive full access to both channels during the trial period. No credit card required to start.
Do you have a track record before January 2026?
SDM has been in development since 2025, but the current system configuration (v8.5.0) began generating live, timestamped alerts on 25 January 2026. We do not present pre-launch backtest data as live performance. What you see is what was actually sent — 59 days of auditable results. We believe a shorter verified track record is more credible than a longer unverifiable one.
Can I use a bookmaker instead of Betfair?
Yes, but published results are based on Betfair exchange back prices at the time of alert. Bookmaker prices may differ — fixed-odds bookmakers sometimes offer better prices on shorter-priced runners, while Betfair typically offers better value on longer-priced runners. The alert gives you the runner and the Betfair price; where you place the bet is up to you.
What if I miss an alert?
If you can't act within 60-90 seconds of an alert, skip that signal. Prices move quickly in the execution window and you may not get the published price. The system generates enough volume — roughly 50 Pro Channel and 8 Tape alerts per day — that missing individual signals has minimal impact on overall results.
Should I follow every alert?
For the most accurate replication of published results, yes — follow every alert at flat staking. Cherry-picking signals (for example, only betting favourites or only certain venues) will produce different results than published and is not recommended. The edge comes from the full population of signals, not hand-selected subsets.
Do I need to watch the races?
No. The system operates entirely on pre-race market data. Race watching is not required and does not affect signal quality. You place your bet before the race starts based on the alert, and the result settles automatically.
How much time does this take each day?
Racing typically runs from around 11am to 6pm AEST. During that window, alerts arrive intermittently — you need to be available to act within 60-90 seconds of each one. In practice, most subscribers keep their phone nearby with Telegram notifications on and place bets in under 30 seconds per alert. On a typical day, you might spend 20-30 minutes total across the session. Saturday metro meetings are the busiest; Mondays are lightest.
What's the difference between Pro Channel and Tape Alerts?
They detect completely different types of market activity with zero overlap. The Pro Channel identifies sustained accumulation campaigns — professional operators methodically building a position. It has higher volume (~50 alerts/day), a 30.4% strike rate, and targets longer-priced runners (avg $7.22). Tape Alerts identifies A+ microstructure overlay patterns — a different market state called DRIFT where all five tape quality conditions are met simultaneously. It's more selective (~8 alerts/day), has a 55.7% strike rate, and targets shorter prices (avg $3.98). A runner cannot trigger both channels — they detect mutually exclusive market states.
What is the ML Predictions channel?
ML Predictions is a third channel that uses a 5-model machine learning ensemble to score runners based on microstructure features. It finds profitable signals that the rule-based Pro and Tape systems miss — particularly in market states that the other channels don't target. It's currently in shadow mode (scoring without capital deployment) and has shown +108.0u from 156 resolved bets in early monitoring. It will launch to Elite subscribers once it completes 4 weeks of positive live shadow results, expected around April/May 2026.
What bankroll do I need to start?
We recommend a minimum bankroll of 150 units. If your unit size is $20, that's a $3,000 bankroll. This buffer exists because the Pro Channel can have drawdowns exceeding 100 units in a single week — you need enough capital to survive those periods without being forced to stop. If 150 units feels too large, reduce your unit size rather than reducing the bankroll. A $1,500 bankroll at $10/unit is better than a $1,500 bankroll at $20/unit.